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November 28, 2006

Loud and clear, please

A survey by CommunicateResearch has today placed Labour at 36% in the opinion polls, giving us of 2% lead of 2%. Although this figure appears small, and will no doubt change repeatedly until the country next hits the ballot boxes, it should not go unmarked or uncelebrated. A similar poll last month, for the Independent, gave the Tories a 4% lead. How have Labour managed to regain the lead?

Andrew Grice, Political Editor at the Indy, claims that Labour’s surge in the polls is due merely to the prominence of law and order issues in the Queen’s Speech earlier this month. Steve Richards, also in the Indy, argues that these ‘reactionary’ issues may give the party a lead at present but cannot secure a forth term for Labour. Richards claims that Labour have focused heavily on these issues, at the expense of its progressive agenda, thus leaving the Downing Street door open for Cameron. His advice: Labour needs to shout about its progressive policies “loudly and often”. Take heed.

For more information take a look at www.communicateresearch.com

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Comments

Or, perhaps the last Communicate poll was an outlying result and all Communicate polls are inherently undermined by their failure to use modern past-vote weighting techniques, so we shouldn't take too much notice of them at all.

Just a thought.

Bob Worcester speaking on 18 Doughty St yesterday thinks that Labour will be returned for a 4th Term in 2009, because of the drop in the Lib Dem vote, most of them coming back to Labour. Which is all very encouraging. But, we are going to be pretty jaded unless we go in for a massive renewal and a more progressive agenda, plus the economy, plus getting on top of crime and disorder.

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